基于SWAT模型的菜子湖流域丁草胺时空分布模拟研究

SIMULATION OF THE SPATIOTEMPORAL DISTRIBUTION OF BUTACHLOR IN THE CAIZI LAKE BASIN USING THE SWAT MODEL

  • 摘要: 本研究以菜子湖流域为研究区, 应用SWAT模型对农业非点源污染中丁草胺的迁移与输出过程进行模拟。通过模型参数率定与验证, 获得了较为可靠的模拟结果。结果表明, 丁草胺输出在时间和空间尺度上均表现出显著差异。时间上, 6—7月丁草胺输出量占全年总量的79.32%, 与5—6月施药期后夏季强降水及径流增加密切相关; 日输出量与日径流量呈显著正相关(P<0.01, r=0.632)。丰水年(如2016年)丁草胺输出量显著高于枯水年(如2018年)。空间上, 下游子流域(如13、17、19号)为主要输出区, 输出强度明显高于上游地区。在土地利用类型方面, 由于多塘系统中水体对污染物具有显著的传输和滞留作用, 子流域内水体覆盖面积对丁草胺输出具有显著影响, 而农田和林地的影响相对较小。研究结果可为菜子湖流域农业非点源污染防控及农药管理提供科学依据, 对保障流域水质安全、优化区域农药管理策略具有重要意义。

     

    Abstract: This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to simulate the transport and export of butachlor, a typical herbicide, under agricultural non-point source pollution conditions in the Caizi Lake basin. Model calibration and validation indicated satisfactory simulation performance. The results revealed pronounced spatiotemporal variation in butachlor export. Temporally, 79.32% of the annual butachlor load occurred between June and July, closely associated with intensive rainfall and increased runoff following herbicide application in May–June. Daily butachlor export was significantly and positively correlated with daily runoff (P<0.01, r=0.632). Interannual differences were also evident, with export loads in wet years (e.g., 2016) substantially exceeding those in dry years (e.g., 2018). Spatially, the lower sub-watersheds (sub-basins 13, 17, and 19) were identified as primary export zones, with markedly higher outputs than upstream areas. Among land use types, water bodies had a significant effect on butachlor export, whereas cropland and forestland showed relatively weak impacts, highlighting the retention and transmission function of pond networks in multi-pond systems. These findings provide a scientific basis for managing agricultural non-point source pollution and pesticide use in the Caizi Lake basin, with important implications for safeguarding watershed water quality and optimizing regional agrochemical strategies.

     

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