2017—2024年洱海分区水质网络结构特征

STRUCTURAL CHARACTERISTICS OF SPATIAL WATER-QUALITY NETWORKS IN ERHAI LAKE FROM 2017 TO 2024

  • 摘要: 为解析洱海水环境的时空变化特征, 本研究基于2017—2024年洱海北、中、南三区湖心及对应湖湾(沙坪湾、挖色湾、向阳湾)季度监测的19项水体理化指标, 分区域构建了整体、年度和季度尺度的水质相关性网络。结果表明: (1)洱海湖心水质网络较湖湾更松散、简单, 这一低连通、高模块化的结构可把污染等扰动局域化, 从而赋予其更高的抵抗力; 而湖湾网络复杂、连接冗余, 在外部扰动下更易发生连锁波动, 抵抗力相对较弱。(2)湖心区水质网络以TN、TP、SD和Chl.a为核心节点, 其中TP是共有的关键驱动因子, 对其调控可产生高效的杠杆效应。湖湾水质指标虽连接数多, 但关键节点少, 对扰动的缓冲更依赖随机连通路径, 稳定性相对较低。(3)湖湾区水质网络结构呈季节性演变, 由春季至冬季逐渐复杂紧密, 这可能受降雨径流与水生植物季节波动等的共同驱动。因此, 通过调控湖湾水生植物群落, 有望局部降低网络密度、提升模块化, 进而为全湖水质网络的简化与稳态维持提供一种关键驱动途径。本研究将网络稳定性框架引入高原湖泊水质评价, 所提出的“水质网络结构特征”可为洱海分区治理提供新的预警指标(如模块度与密度), 并指明通过削减外源负荷与调控水生植被驱动网络向更优构型转变的精准治理路径。

     

    Abstract: Influenced by natural geographical conditions and intensity of human activities, the water environment of different areas in Erhai Lake exhibits significant differentiation. To analyze the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of the water environment in Erhai Lake, this study constructed water quality correlation networks at overall, annual, and quarterly scales for three lake regions (the north, middle, and south) based on 19 water physicochemical indicators monitored quarterly at the lake center and corresponding bays (Shaping Bay, Wase Bay and Xiangyang Bay) from 2017 to 2024. The results indicate that: (1) The water quality network at the center of Erhai Lake is sparser and structurally simpler than that in the lake bays. This low connectivity and high modularity structure can localize disturbances such as pollution, thereby endowing higher resistance. In contrast, the bay networks are more complex and densely connected, making them more prone to chain fluctuations under external disturbances and having relatively weaker resistance; (2) The core nodes quality in the center lake network water are TN, TP, SD, and Chl.a, with TP serving as a common key driver. Its regulation can produce an efficient lever effect. Although water quality indicators in the bays have more connections, they possess fewer key nodes and rely more on random connected paths for buffering disturbances, thus having relatively lower stability; (3) The network structure of water quality in the bays undergoes seasonal evolution, gradually becoming more complex and compact from spring to winter, which may be jointly driven by seasonal fluctuations in rainfall runoff and aquatic plants. Therefore, by regulating the aquatic plant communities in the bays, the local network density can be reduced and modularity enhanced, thereby providing a key pathway toward simplifying and stabilizing the overall lake water quality network. This study is the first to incorporate the network stability framework into water quality assessment of plateau lakes. The proposed “water quality network structure characteristics” offer novel early-warning indicators (such as modularity and density) for zonal management of Erhai Lake and indicate the precise governance approach of reducing external loads and regulating aquatic vegetation to drive the network towards a more favorable configuration.

     

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