南极磷虾成虾的能量积累及其对环境因子的响应

ENERGY ACCUMULATION IN ANTARCTIC KRILL (EUPHAUSIA SUPERBA) AND ITS RESPONSE TO ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS

  • 摘要: 为阐明南极磷虾(Euphausia superba)能量积累的环境驱动机制, 本研究根据2023年12月—2024年9月在南大洋48渔区采集的磷虾样本, 测定分析抱卵成虾与未抱卵成虾的肌肉组织能量密度, 利用广义加性混合效应模型(GAMM)分析其与海洋环境因子的效应关系, 并预测未来不同气候情景下其肌肉组织能量积累变化。结果显示, 抱卵成虾能量密度显著低于未抱卵成虾; 能量密度与海表温度和叶绿素a浓度显著相关, 随着海表温度和叶绿素a浓度增大而增加。模型预测显示, 至2050年肌肉组织能量密度在不同气候情景下均随海表温升高而增大; 至2100年, 仅SSP1-2.6路径下维持增长, 高排放气候情景下则显著下降; 叶绿素a浓度对能量积累的促进作用存在饱和效应, 长期高强度气候变化将抑制其能量积累能力。研究结果为评估南极磷虾种群的环境适应性及制定动态养护策略提供科学支持。

     

    Abstract: To elucidate the environmental drivers of energy accumulation in Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba), this study analyzed somatic energy density in both ovigerous and non-ovigerous adult krill collected from area 48 of the Southern Ocean between December 2023 and September 2024. Using Generalized Additive Mixed Models (GAMM), we investigated the relationship between somatic energy density and key marine environmental variables, and projected future changes in somatic energy accumulation under different climate scenarios. The results showed that the ovigerous krill exhibited significantly lower somatic energy density than non-ovigerous adults. Somatic energy density was positively correlated with sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll a concentration (Chl.a), increasing with both variables. Model projections indicated that by 2050, somatic energy density will increase with rising sea surface temperature across all climate scenarios. By 2100, however, continued increase is only maintained under the SSP1-2.6 pathway, while a significant decline occurs under high-emission scenarios. Chlorophyll-a concentration exhibits a saturation effect in promoting energy accumulation, and long-term intensive climate change is projected to suppress krill energy storage capacity. These findings provide a scientific basis for assessing the environmental adaptability of Antarctic krill and formulating dynamic conservation strategies under climate change.

     

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