基于MaxEnt模型的厚唇裸重唇鱼当下潜在适宜分布

POTENTIAL SUITABLE DISTRIBUTION OF GYMNODIPLOCHEILUS PACHYCHEILUS BASED ON MAXENT MODEL

  • 摘要: 研究以厚唇裸重唇鱼(Gymnodiptychus pachycheilus)为研究对象, 基于其53个野外分布位点, 并结合筛选后的3组环境因子(包括第1组: 气候因子与地形因素; 第2组: 淡水环境因子; 第3组: 气候因子、地形因素与淡水环境因子)分别构建MaxEnt模型Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ, 分析厚唇裸重唇鱼在长江及黄河流域的当下潜在适生区分布及影响其分布的主要环境因子, 并进一步探讨MaxEnt模型在内陆淡水鱼类研究中的应用前景。结果表明: (1)基于3组环境因子所构建MaxEnt模型Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ对厚唇裸重唇鱼当下在长江与黄河流域适宜分布的预测均具有较高的可靠性, 在气候因子与地形因子的基础上, 淡水环境因子的添加进一步增加了MaxEnt模型的可靠性与准确性; (2) MaxEnt模型对厚唇裸重唇鱼在长江和黄河流域的当下潜在地理分布预测结果与其现有分布基本吻合; (3)在长江与黄河流域, MaxEnt模型筛选出影响厚唇裸重唇鱼分布的主要环境因子包括草本植被横跨小集水区范围(Hb-rang)、上游平均高程(Up-ele)和温度季节性变异系数(Bio4)。研究结果为厚唇裸重唇鱼野生资源养护和栖息地保护提供了理论依据, 并为MaxEnt模型在我国其他珍稀濒危鱼类适生区研究中的应用提供借鉴。此外, MaxEnt模型在我国内陆鱼类栖息地保护、鱼类更替及其灭绝驱动因素预测、鱼类群落生物多样性监测与评估、外来(或入侵)鱼类风险评估等方面具有广阔的应用前景。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, the wild fishery resources of Schizothoracinae fishes in the plateau have been declining. Understanding the potential distribution and driving factors for these fish species can provide important references for the conservation in China. Up to now, species distribution models (SDMs) have been wildly used to predict the geographic distribution of different terrestrial species, including plants and animals. Among these, the Maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model is the most commonly used, with significant potential for identifying wildlife distribution and habitat selection. In this study, the MaxEnt model Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and Ⅲ were constructed based on 3 groups of selected environmental factors (i.e., Group 1: climatic and topographical factors for the model Ⅰ; Group 2: freshwater environmental factors for the model Ⅱ; Group 3: climatic, topographical, and freshwater environmental factors for the model Ⅲ). These models were applied using 58 recorded occurrences of Gymnocheilus pachycheilus to study the current potential habitat distribution of G. pachycheilus in the Yangtze River and Yellow River basins. The study also analyzed the main environmental factors affecting its potential distribution and discussed the future prospects of applying the MaxEnt model to inland freshwater fish species. The results indicated that: (1) MaxEnt model Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and Ⅲ demonstrated high reliability in predicting the current suitable distribution of G. pachycheilus in the Yangtze and Yellow River basins. The inclusion of freshwater environmental factors further improved the reliability and accuracy of the models based on climatic and topographic factors; (2) the predicted potential geographical distributions of G. pachycheilus predicted by MaxEnt model were consistent with the current existing distributions; (3) in the Yangtze and Yellow River basins,herbaceous vegetation-range across sub-catchment (Hb-rang), average elevation across sub-catchment(Up-ele), and temperature seasonality(Bio4) were the main environmental factors affecting the distribution of G. pachycheilus. This study provides a theoretical basis for the conservation of wild G. pachycheilus populations and their habitat protection. It also highlights the potential for the further application of MaxEnt model in studying other rare and endangered fish species of China. Moreover, the MaxEnt model holds broad prospects for applications in habitat protection of inland fish species, predicting drivers of fish displacement and extinction, monitoring and assessing fish community biodiversity, and evaluating the risks posed by nonnative (or invasive) fish species in China.

     

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